Sunday Night Football Betting: Denver Broncos at Detroit Lions

Sunday Night Football Betting:  Denver Broncos at Detroit Lions

Sunday Night Football action this week takes place at Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan as the hometown Lions look for their first win of the season against the Denver Broncos. The Lions have been a mess so far this season–the defense has looked porous and is struggling to rebuild following the loss of Ndamukong Suh. Quarterback Matthew Stafford is hurting with a rib injury but is expected to play here. Denver, meanwhile, is off to a 2-0 start despite the fact that Peyton Manning has lost some of the ‘zip’ on his passes. So far so good, however, as Manning and head coach Gary Kubiak have done a nice job retooling the offense to compensate for the Hall of Fame quarterback’s decline. Whether this will get them to a Super Bowl in what is almost certainly Manning’s last season remains to be seen but so far so good.

Obviously, NFL coaches and players would suggest that they want to win ‘every game’ but clearly some are more important than others within the context of a full season. And in light of this reality, this game means much more to the home team than it does to the Broncos. Detroit has a tough road game at Seattle on deck next Monday Night followed by a tough home game against Arizona six days later. A loss here and the Lions could very realistically be staring at an 0-4 or even 0-5 start. Denver has some breathing room by virtue to their start to the season including a big win against the Kansas City Chiefs last week. They’ve got a home game against Minnesota on deck followed by road games at Oakland and Cleveland.

Denver hasn’t been a good team on artificial turf over the past few seasons. They enter this contest on a 2-8 SU/3-7 ATS run on turf. They’ve also lost both straight up and against the spread in their last two dome appearances. They’ve made money as a favorite (20-15 ATS) and the Lions have been a horrible play as an underdog (2-8 SU/3-7 ATS). But this is a case where it looks like the road team is overvalued and the home team undervalued. We’ll take the FG and look for Detroit to scrap out a win.