NFL Football Betting: Minnesota Vikings at San Francisco 49ers

NFL Football Betting:  Minnesota Vikings at San Francisco 49ers

Tough times in San Francisco as they open the 2015 NFL regular season in the second of the Week 1 Monday Night Football doubleheader games. They’re simply not the team they used to be and they’ll be breaking in a new head coach. Jim Tomsula was kicked upstairs from his role as defensive line coach following the ‘mutually agreed upon departure’ of Jim Harbaugh. Harbaugh is now in charge at the University of Michigan while Tomsula has the tough job of putting the pieces back together with the Niners.

Minnesota, on the other hand, has all of a sudden become one of the trendy teams in the sport. Throw running back Adrian Peterson back into the mix and they look like a very dangerous team. The perception that they’re a team on the rise is why they’re now -2 favorites after opening as short priced underdogs–they’ve attracted a ton of one way action that has moved the line to the current price.

Of course any experienced sports bettor knows that the best response to ‘one way action’ is to go the other way. You’re not only being a contrarian and playing against public perception–always a long term profitable strategy–but you’re also getting the best of the number. Furthermore, we like the Vikings and they’re definitely a team heading in the right direction. But are we ready to lay points with them on the road in a tough venue? It’s been a number of years since they’ve been favored on the road and going back to 1992 they’re just 9-15 ATS as road favorites. They’re also on a 2-13 SU run though they have been profitable at 9-7 ATS on the road during the last two seasons. But that brings us back to the previous question–are we ready to lay points with a team that has won a total of two road games in the previous two seasons?

The Vikings could prove everyone wrong but for now we’ll go with the premise that the Niners have been excessively downgraded and take the points. San Francisco hasn’t been a home underdog since the early days of the Harbaugh regime.