Monday Night Football Betting: Chicago Bears at New York Jets

Monday Night Football Betting:  Chicago Bears at New York Jets

The final NFL game of Week 3 goes tonight as the Chicago Bears travel East to take on the New York Jets. Both teams are 1-1 on the season. Chicago opened the year with a 23-20 home loss at Buffalo but rebounded last week to upset the San Francisco 49ers on the road. The Jets opened the year with a home win over Oakland before losing to Green Bay on the road. This is obviously a big game for both teams–there’s a huge psychological difference between being 2-1 and being 1-2.

Lots of injuries on both sides of the ball. Chicago had three wide receivers (Brandon Marshall, Alshon Jeffrey, Josh Morgan) on the injury report but all have been upgraded to ‘probable’. Eric Decker is the biggest name on the Jets injury list and he’s still ‘questionable’ as of this writing. Matchup is interesting because each team’s defensive weakness plays in to their opponent’s offensive strength. Jay Cutler and his talented receiver corps should be effective against the Jets’ weak secondary. The Bears’ undersized defensive front is vulnerable to a strong rushing game and that’s the Jets’ strength.

The Bears have been a horrible pointspread play in recent years in a number of relevant settings. They’re on a 12-21 ATS run overall and a 4-9 ATS run as an underdog. Their biggest problem has been in games that the linesmaker thinks are a fairly even matchup. In games where the line is +3 to -3 the Bears are on a 4-13 run against the spread! The Jets are pretty much a breakeven pointspread team in most settings but they are on a 5-2 ATS run as a home favorite of three or less.

A few other factors seem to favor the Jets–the Bears are coming off a very satisfying win and the Jets are coming off a brutal loss in which they played well. New York led Green Bay 21-3 early in the second quarter and had a late touchdown reversed due to a time out that no one on the Jets will admit to having called. Chicago has a game against arch rival Green Bay on deck which has ‘lookahead’ potential while the Jets have a non-conference game against Detroit up next.