College Football Betting: Baylor at Texas

College Football Betting:  Baylor at Texas

Saturday’s college football betting card features a Lone Star State rivalry game between Baylor and Texas. The Baylor Bears are a perfect 4-0 SU/3-0-1 ATS on the season though they’ve mostly beaten up on overmatched competition. Texas is 2-2 SU/3-1 ATS with their two losses coming to solid teams (BYU and UCLA). These teams have been playing each other for more than a century with the Longhorns holding a commanding 74-25-4 advantage though Baylor won last year’s game 30-10.

The Bears’ offensive output is almost absurd. The team has scored 45 or more points in every game this season averaging a whopping 645 yards per game and scoring 56.8 PPG. Quarterback Bryce Petty leads the #4 ranked Baylor passing attack but they can run the ball as well–they’re averaging 239.8 yards per game rushing with Shock Linwood as the featured back. The Baylor defense has put up good numbers as well allowing just 13.8 PPG with solid yardage numbers against the run and the pass. Of course they haven’t exactly played a tough schedule so the salient questions are a) how will the offense perform when stepping up in class? and b) how will the defense perform when stepping up in class?

Both could be ‘trick questions’ as the Longhorns might not be ‘stepping up in class’ at this point. Charlie Strong is rebuilding the program from the ground up and has started by ridding it of all ‘discipline cases’ held over from the last coaching regime. That’s a good plan in the long term but in the short term it has resulted in a lack of depth. Nowhere is that more evident than at the quarterback position where Tyron Swoops may eventually be a solid college starter but for now is very much an unfinished product.

The only offense Texas has faced this year that even approximates the Baylor onslaught is BYU and the Cougars won that game 41-7. The Longhorns are in a no win situation here–they don’t have the defense to contain Baylor and their offense isn’t potent enough to trade points with them. So far ‘containing’ Baylor has been a relative term and even if Texas brings a great effort they won’t be able to keep the Bears from scoring 40 or more.