MLB Baseball Betting: Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals

MLB Baseball Betting:  Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals

The St. Louis Cardinals are like a Rolex watch–they epitomize dependability. They’re not flashy, they don’t have one ‘marquee superstar’ or dominant slugger. They just win, and win with regularity. They just don’t go on extended losing streaks and their ability to win and win consistently has kept the Pittsburgh Pirates–with the third best record in baseball and second best in the National League–in the rear view mirror all season long. The Pirates have been playing excellent baseball over the past couple of weeks winning 7 of their last 10 and 9 of their last 14. But St. Louis has been even better, winning 9 of 10 and 10 of their last 14.

The Cards will host the Pirates this weekend in a very important series but they’ve not been caught ‘looking ahead’ and have continued to take care of business against the Washington Nationals. The Nationals are a very erratic team–at one point, they looked to be in the driver’s seat in the NL East. At that point they were starting to play well and the New York Mets were slumping badly. Things have gone the opposite direction from that point–the Mets have won and won consistently entering tonight’s action winning 9 of the last 12. Washington hasn’t been able to go on a significant run–they enter this game having won 6 of 10 which won’t get it done when they’re chasing a team that is six games ahead and playing better baseball.

Great value on the Cardinals here. The Nats are overvalued in this spot due to the ‘brand equity’ of starting pitcher Max Scherzer. Scherzer is definitely capable of shutting down opponents but he’s not been in good form. In his last 3 starts he’s gone 16 innings allowing 13 earned runs for a 7.31 ERA. More significantly, the Nationals lost all three games. St. Louis is starting a minor league callup in place of Michael Wacha here (Tyler Lyons) but given Scherzer’s recent form and more importantly the Cards’ dominance at home we have no interest in the road team.