MLB Baseball Betting: Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves

MLB Baseball Betting:  Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves

It wasn’t that long ago that the Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies were playing *meaningful* baseball games in the month of September. Now, not so much. Actually this game does have some significance but of a dubious sort. The Braves and Phillies are battling to avoid finishing with the worst record in baseball. They’re the only teams in the Major Leagues that have won fewer than 60 games and currently a single game separates them in the standings. Both teams have lost 7 of their last 10 games so it’s an ‘evenly matched’ contest in this race to avoid the basement.

The Phillies will start lefthander Adam Morgan who has put up mediocre at best numbers in 14 starts this season. Morgan has a 4.60 ERA overall with the Phillies splitting wins and losses. On the road, Morgan has a 4.84 ERA and Philadelphia has lost 4 of his 6 assignments. Philadelphia has won just one of Morgan’s last three starts and he’s put up an ERA in 5.19 ERA in those games.

Atlanta will counter with righthander Williams Perez who–like the rest of the Braves–was expected to perform much better than he has this season. Perez has started 17 games this year with the Braves winning only six. He’s got a 5.17 ERA overall and a 6.26 ERA at home where Atlanta has won 3 of his 8 assignments. In his last three starts he’s got an ERA of 4.50 but the Braves have managed only one win in that stretch.

The Braves have managed to tread water for their financial backers at Turner Field this year losing -1.6 units from a 34-38 record. The Phillies have lost a ton of money on the road this year but in our view the salient component of this handicap is the Braves horrible output against lefthanded pitching. Atlanta is 11-22 -9.4 units against southpaws averaging just 2.7 runs per game.