MLB Baseball Betting: Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs

MLB Baseball Betting:  Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs

This NL Central matchup is important–at least for one of these teams. The Chicago Cubs know they can’t run down the St. Louis Cardinals for the divisional title which means they’ll be focused on getting home field advantage for the wild card playoff game. They’re currently two games behind the Pittsburgh Pirates which is really their only concern at the moment. They’re 9.5 games up on San Francisco and Washington meaning they really don’t have to worry about what is going on behind them. Milwaukee is the personification of ‘dumpster fire’ but due to the struggles of Atlanta and Philadelphia this season they don’t have to worry too much about finishing with the worst record in baseball. This lets them just play out the string and they’ve been doing exactly that–they’ve lost 9 of their last 10 games with only 2 wins in their last 13 contests.

As if the Brewers didn’t have enough to deal with in this matchup they’ll be facing Cubs’ ace Jake Arrieta. And were *that* not enough, Arrieta has been almost unhittable in his most recent starts. He’s been very good all year long with a 1.96 ERA and the Cubs have won 22 of his 30 starts. In his last three games–all Cubs’ victories–Arrieta has 2 earned runs and 19 strikeouts in 24 innings of work for a tidy 0.75 ERA. He’s only allowed 16 *hits* over the past three contests.

Milwaukee will send Tyler Cravy to the mound–his major league career has started about as poorly as it possibly could. After bouncing around the minors for the past seven years he’s started five games since joining the Brewers–all five losses. He’s allowed 21 runs in 25 innings of work for a 6.48 ERA as a starter. His last three starts–all losses, obviously–has seen Cravy put up a 10.50 ERA.

The Cubs have had little trouble with the Brewers in head to head play this season–Chicago has won 10 of 14 head to head overall including 5 of 7 at home. Tough to lay this kind of price but very little reason to back the Brewers.